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...Greats @allSemi ☺
...Greats @allSemi ☺
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Tagesanalyse €uro das könnte es gewesen sein
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194
Zugriffe: 36.930 / Heute: 1
Zugriffe: 36.930 / Heute: 1
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Wie seht ihr denn die Entwicklung Euro/Dollar in der nächsten Zeit? Und warum?
könnte erstmal wieder runter gehen um den Trend zu testen.
Hier nochmal der Chart. Es gibt jeden Tag ein tieferes Hoch.
Es könnte erstmal bis 1,45 runter gehen
Es könnte erstmal bis 1,45 runter gehen
(Verkleinert auf 75%) 
geht anscheinend weiter aufwärts ...
genauso wie gold und öl schon sehr bald neue hochs erklimmen werden
auf den dollar setzt, der glaubt auch an den weihnachtsmann.
diesistkeineaufforderungzuirgendetwas
ist nur ein EUR/USD prositives Signal. Danach sah es aus weil die Kraft fuer einen weiteren Anstieg fehlte.
(Verkleinert auf 70%)
EUR/CHF hat gerade den 2006er Aufwärtstrend getestet!
Also alles was an die 1,6350 geht aufsaugen.
Tipp zu Ende.
Also alles was an die 1,6350 geht aufsaugen.
Tipp zu Ende.
Moin!
Wie seht ihr das? Glaubt ihr, dass wir erst noch einen Rücksetzer bis 1,45 machen oder ist das eurer Meinung nach eher unwahrscheinlich?
LG
Noze
Wie seht ihr das? Glaubt ihr, dass wir erst noch einen Rücksetzer bis 1,45 machen oder ist das eurer Meinung nach eher unwahrscheinlich?
LG
Noze
Hier kann dir wohl keiner mit Sicherheit weiterhelfen.
THE FED
Bernanke: Upcoming data may tell the tale on rates
Fed chairman plays cards close to vest on interest rates
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said that economic data to be released over the next eight days may contain the answer to the key question: whether to hold rates steady or lower them for the third straight meeting.
In a speech after receiving the award of the 2007 "Citizen of the Carolinas" from the Charlotte Chamber of Commerce, Bernanke played his cards close to the vest about the upcoming policy decision on Dec. 11.
He neither ruled a rate cut in, nor ruled one out. "We will be receiving a good deal of relevant information in the coming days. In making its policy decision, the FOMC will have to judge whether the outlook for the economy or the balance of risks has shifted materially," he said.
After the last Federal Open Market Committee meeting on Oct. 31, the FOMC moved to a "neutral" stance by suggesting that the risk of a serious downturn in growth or a serious upturn in inflation were roughly in balance. Fed watchers interpreted these remarks to mean the central bank wished to hold rates steady if possible on Dec. 11, unless circumstances changed.
Many economists now argue that circumstances have changed, as credit markets have frozen over the past few weeks in an eerie replay of the turmoil in August.
Bernanke noted this renewed turbulence, saying that the outlook has been "importantly affected" over the last month.
"The fresh wave of investor concern has contributed in recent weeks to a decline in equity values, a widening of risk spreads for many credit products not only those related to housing and increased short-term funding pressures," he said.
'These developments [have] the potential to impose additional restraint on activity in housing markets and in other credit-sensitive sectors.'
"These developments have resulted in a further tightening in financial conditions, which has the potential to impose additional restraint on activity in housing markets and in other credit-sensitive sectors," Bernanke added.
These comments might give succor to economists projecting a rate cut on Dec. 11 and more in coming months. Similar comments by Bernanke's top deputy, Donald Kohn, led to a sharp stock-market rally on Wednesday. See full story.
Inflation and jobs
But Bernanke also expressed a concern about inflation. He said that soaring gasoline and food prices and the weak value of the dollar in foreign-exchange markets have the potential to upset the apple cart of low and steady consumer prices.
The Fed was "monitoring inflation developments closely," he commented. This might give cheer to some Fed officials and others who argue that the central bank can't fight the disruptions in credit markets effectively by cutting short-term rates without risking letting the inflation genie out of the bottle.
Bernanke was quite clear about what the FOMC would focus on in terms of economic indicators. He gave special mention to the November unemployment report, which will be released Dec. 7.
At the moment, Wall Street economists are forecasting job growth of under 100,000 in November, for the fifth time since June.
"Continued good performance by the labor market is important for maintaining the economic expansion, as growth in earnings helps to underpin household spending," Bernanke said.
He pointed out that the labor market remained "solid" in October, with 130,000 new jobs added.
Initial jobless claims, a key weather vane for changes in labor market conditions, have "drifted up a bit," Bernanke added. But they remain "at a level consistent with moderate expansion in employment."
Many economists have argued that labor-market conditions will be key to upcoming Fed-rate decisions.
The Fed is also anxiously awaiting fresh data on consumer spending to be released this Friday and readings on consumer sentiment to be released on Dec. 7.
To date, Bernanke said that the incoming data since the Fed's last meeting on Oct. 31 has been "mixed."
The Fed chairman said household spending has been on the "soft side."
"I expect household income and spending to continue to grow, but the combination of higher gas prices, the weak housing market, tighter credit conditions and declines in stock prices seem likely to create some headwinds for the consumer in the months ahead," according to Bernanke.
Investors, as measured by the federal-funds futures markets, are already set on a rate cut Dec. 11. Many economists initially took the Fed's word that it wanted to hold steady, but more are penciling in a December move.
In a separate speech Thursday, Fed Gov. Frederic Mishkin longed for the day that the public and media pay less attention to interest rates and focus more on the Fed's medium-term outlook, now that the central bank has decided to release its economic forecast four times per year. Read text of Mishkin's speech.
But that wish may likely have to wait for another day. End of Story
Greg Robb is a senior reporter for MarketWatch in Washington.
Gruss Ice
__________________________________________________
Börsengewinne sind Schmerzengeld. Erst kommen die Schmerzen, dann das Geld...(A.K.)
Bernanke: Upcoming data may tell the tale on rates
Fed chairman plays cards close to vest on interest rates
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said that economic data to be released over the next eight days may contain the answer to the key question: whether to hold rates steady or lower them for the third straight meeting.
In a speech after receiving the award of the 2007 "Citizen of the Carolinas" from the Charlotte Chamber of Commerce, Bernanke played his cards close to the vest about the upcoming policy decision on Dec. 11.
He neither ruled a rate cut in, nor ruled one out. "We will be receiving a good deal of relevant information in the coming days. In making its policy decision, the FOMC will have to judge whether the outlook for the economy or the balance of risks has shifted materially," he said.
After the last Federal Open Market Committee meeting on Oct. 31, the FOMC moved to a "neutral" stance by suggesting that the risk of a serious downturn in growth or a serious upturn in inflation were roughly in balance. Fed watchers interpreted these remarks to mean the central bank wished to hold rates steady if possible on Dec. 11, unless circumstances changed.
Many economists now argue that circumstances have changed, as credit markets have frozen over the past few weeks in an eerie replay of the turmoil in August.
Bernanke noted this renewed turbulence, saying that the outlook has been "importantly affected" over the last month.
"The fresh wave of investor concern has contributed in recent weeks to a decline in equity values, a widening of risk spreads for many credit products not only those related to housing and increased short-term funding pressures," he said.
'These developments [have] the potential to impose additional restraint on activity in housing markets and in other credit-sensitive sectors.'
"These developments have resulted in a further tightening in financial conditions, which has the potential to impose additional restraint on activity in housing markets and in other credit-sensitive sectors," Bernanke added.
These comments might give succor to economists projecting a rate cut on Dec. 11 and more in coming months. Similar comments by Bernanke's top deputy, Donald Kohn, led to a sharp stock-market rally on Wednesday. See full story.
Inflation and jobs
But Bernanke also expressed a concern about inflation. He said that soaring gasoline and food prices and the weak value of the dollar in foreign-exchange markets have the potential to upset the apple cart of low and steady consumer prices.
The Fed was "monitoring inflation developments closely," he commented. This might give cheer to some Fed officials and others who argue that the central bank can't fight the disruptions in credit markets effectively by cutting short-term rates without risking letting the inflation genie out of the bottle.
Bernanke was quite clear about what the FOMC would focus on in terms of economic indicators. He gave special mention to the November unemployment report, which will be released Dec. 7.
At the moment, Wall Street economists are forecasting job growth of under 100,000 in November, for the fifth time since June.
"Continued good performance by the labor market is important for maintaining the economic expansion, as growth in earnings helps to underpin household spending," Bernanke said.
He pointed out that the labor market remained "solid" in October, with 130,000 new jobs added.
Initial jobless claims, a key weather vane for changes in labor market conditions, have "drifted up a bit," Bernanke added. But they remain "at a level consistent with moderate expansion in employment."
Many economists have argued that labor-market conditions will be key to upcoming Fed-rate decisions.
The Fed is also anxiously awaiting fresh data on consumer spending to be released this Friday and readings on consumer sentiment to be released on Dec. 7.
To date, Bernanke said that the incoming data since the Fed's last meeting on Oct. 31 has been "mixed."
The Fed chairman said household spending has been on the "soft side."
"I expect household income and spending to continue to grow, but the combination of higher gas prices, the weak housing market, tighter credit conditions and declines in stock prices seem likely to create some headwinds for the consumer in the months ahead," according to Bernanke.
Investors, as measured by the federal-funds futures markets, are already set on a rate cut Dec. 11. Many economists initially took the Fed's word that it wanted to hold steady, but more are penciling in a December move.
In a separate speech Thursday, Fed Gov. Frederic Mishkin longed for the day that the public and media pay less attention to interest rates and focus more on the Fed's medium-term outlook, now that the central bank has decided to release its economic forecast four times per year. Read text of Mishkin's speech.
But that wish may likely have to wait for another day. End of Story
Greg Robb is a senior reporter for MarketWatch in Washington.
Gruss Ice
__________________________________________________
Börsengewinne sind Schmerzengeld. Erst kommen die Schmerzen, dann das Geld...(A.K.)
...Greats @allSemi ☺
...Greats @allSemi ☺
(Verkleinert auf 56%)
DJ DEVISEN/Euro gerät unter stärkeren Abgabedruck gegen Dollar
17:50 30.11.07
DJ DEVISEN/Euro gerät unter stärkeren Abgabedruck gegen Dollar
FRANKFURT (Dow Jones)--Der Euro ist am Freitagnachmittag unter verstärkten Abgabedruck geraten und unter die Marke von 1,4700 USD gefallen. Händler sprechen von einem verbesserten Sentiment für die US-Währung. Ausdruck der nachlassenden Risikoaversion der Anleger sind auch das kräftige Plus des Greenback gegen den Yen sowie die anhaltenden Aufschläge an den US-Märkten. Die Investoren atmeten regelrecht auf, heißt es. Die Aussicht auf weitere Zinssenkungen durch die Federal Reserve beflügeln das Sentiment. Dass weitere Senkungen die Zinsschere zum Euro weiter einengen würden, belastet den Dollar indes nicht. Im Vordergrund steht vielmehr das verstärkt wiederkehrende Vertrauen der Anleger. Händler berichten von Stop-Loss-Verkäufen, die die Bewegung noch unterstützen.
Sollte das Niveau von 1,4580/90 USD unterschritten werden, könnte es schnell bis auf 1,4013 USD gehen. Schwächere US-Konjunkturdaten werden indes ignoriert. Diese seien in der Zwischenzeit eingepreist, heißt es dazu im Handel. So sind die Bauausgaben im Oktober stärker als von Volkswirten erwartet zurück gegangen. Auch die veröffentlichten Ein- und Ausgaben in den USA sind etwas unter den Prognosen geblieben. Positiv überraschte indes der Einkaufsmanagerindex für die Region Chicago, der sich im November überraschend positiv entwickelte. Aus charttechnischer Sicht setzt sich laut Jürgen Meyer von der Landesbank Baden-Württemberg für den Euro "so langsam doch die negative Sicht durch".
...Greats @allSemi ☺
17:50 30.11.07
DJ DEVISEN/Euro gerät unter stärkeren Abgabedruck gegen Dollar
FRANKFURT (Dow Jones)--Der Euro ist am Freitagnachmittag unter verstärkten Abgabedruck geraten und unter die Marke von 1,4700 USD gefallen. Händler sprechen von einem verbesserten Sentiment für die US-Währung. Ausdruck der nachlassenden Risikoaversion der Anleger sind auch das kräftige Plus des Greenback gegen den Yen sowie die anhaltenden Aufschläge an den US-Märkten. Die Investoren atmeten regelrecht auf, heißt es. Die Aussicht auf weitere Zinssenkungen durch die Federal Reserve beflügeln das Sentiment. Dass weitere Senkungen die Zinsschere zum Euro weiter einengen würden, belastet den Dollar indes nicht. Im Vordergrund steht vielmehr das verstärkt wiederkehrende Vertrauen der Anleger. Händler berichten von Stop-Loss-Verkäufen, die die Bewegung noch unterstützen.
Sollte das Niveau von 1,4580/90 USD unterschritten werden, könnte es schnell bis auf 1,4013 USD gehen. Schwächere US-Konjunkturdaten werden indes ignoriert. Diese seien in der Zwischenzeit eingepreist, heißt es dazu im Handel. So sind die Bauausgaben im Oktober stärker als von Volkswirten erwartet zurück gegangen. Auch die veröffentlichten Ein- und Ausgaben in den USA sind etwas unter den Prognosen geblieben. Positiv überraschte indes der Einkaufsmanagerindex für die Region Chicago, der sich im November überraschend positiv entwickelte. Aus charttechnischer Sicht setzt sich laut Jürgen Meyer von der Landesbank Baden-Württemberg für den Euro "so langsam doch die negative Sicht durch".
...Greats @allSemi ☺
...Greats @allSemi ☺
(Verkleinert auf 56%)
Amis doch besser als erwartet.
...Greats @allSemi ☺
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